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Monday, January 23, 2012

Oscar Predictions

The nominations will be announced tomorrow morning so it's time for predictions. I'm betting that The Artist and Hugo will lead the way, both being films that have been widely embraced amongst the various guilds, with The Help, The Descendants, and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo not far behind (and, sadly, merely one nomination for Drive). Although I don't think War Horse has enough support to get into the Picture race, I think it'll make a decent showing in the technical categories.

I'm also going out on a limb and predicting nominations for Brad Pitt as both Best Actor and Supporting Actor, and that the Academy's British members will sweep Gary Oldman into the Best Actor race (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy hasn't received much love on this side of the Atlantic, but it's nominated for a ton of BAFTAs). Although I'm not predicting it, I wouldn't be terribly surprised to see Melissa McCarthy get a nod for Supporting Actress (most likely knocking out Janet McTeer) or Rooney Mara slipping into a Best Actress slot (knocking out either Glenn Close or Tilda Swinton).

Here are my predictions:

Best Picture

The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Midnight In Paris

Best Director

Woody Allen, Midnight In Paris
David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo

Best Actor

George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Gary Oldman, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

Best Actress

Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

Best Supporting Actress

Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shaileen Woodley, The Descendants

Best Supporting Actor

Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer, Beginners

Best Original Screenplay

Woody Allen, Midnight In Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Mike Mills, Beginners
Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Will Reiser, 50/50

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne & Jim Rash, The Descendants
John Logan, Hugo
Aaron Sorkin & Steve Zaillian, Moneyball
Tate Taylor, The Help
Steve Zaillian, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Best Film Editing

Kirk Baxter & Angus Wall, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Anne-Sophie Bion, The Artist
Michael Kahn, War Horse
Thelma Schoonmaker, Hugo
Kevin Tent, The Descendants

Best Cinematography

Jeff Cronenweth, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Janusz Kaminski, War Horse
Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
Robert Richardson, Hugo
Guillame Schiffman, The Artist

Best Art Direction

Laurence Bennett, The Artist
Stuart Craig, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Dante Ferretti, Hugo
Sebastian T. Krawinkel, Anonymous
Mark Ricker, The Help

Best Costume Design

Mark Bridges, The Artist
Sharen Davis, The Help
Joanna Johnston, War Horse
Michael O'Connor, Jane Eyre
Sandy Powell, Hugo

Best Makeup

Gainsbourgh: A Heroic Life
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
The Iron Lady

Best Visual Effects

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
The Tree of Life
Transformers: Dark of the Moon

Best Sound Mixing

Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Super 8
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Best Sound Editing

Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Super 8
War Horse

Best Original Score

Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Thomas Newman, The Help
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Howard Shore, Hugo
John Williams, War Horse

Best Original Song

"Hello Hello," Gnomeo & Juliet
"Lay Your Head Down," Albert Nobbs
"The Living Proof," The Help
"Man or Muppet," The Muppets
"Picture In My Head," The Muppets

Best Animated Feature

The Adventures of Tin Tin
Puss In Boots
Winnie the Pooh

Best Documentary Feature

Bill Cunningham New York
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Project Nim

Best Foreign Language Feature

In Darkness, Poland
Monsieur Lazhar, Canada
Omar Killed Me, Morocco
Pina, Germany
A Separation, Iran

1 comment:

Matt said...

I'd say your choices are pretty good but I would be surprised if The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo was nominated for best picture.